Arrival Markets

How it works

Every flight here is a market with three possible results: on time, delayed, or cancelled or diverted. You buy the result you expect, and each winning token pays 1 sDAI.

Who runs what

Markets live on Seer, on Gnosis Chain. You trade from your own wallet, and this site never holds your funds or signs for you.

A bot picks the flights, sets the opening odds from each flight's last 30 days, and provides the first liquidity. It removes that liquidity 30 minutes before departure, or earlier if a delay or cancellation is announced. After that, trading stops being supported here.

How a result is settled

Once the outcome is known, the bot answers on Reality.eth with a bond. Anyone can challenge an answer by posting a larger bond within 3.5 days, and Kleros arbitrates if it comes to that. The rules define each result.

Risks

Where it is available

Trading is not offered to people in the United States or in sanctioned jurisdictions. Check that prediction markets are legal where you live. Nothing here is financial advice.